10:03, 10 Март 2022

«Газпром» снизил прогноз по экспортной цене газа на 2016 год

Фото: Олег Яковлев/РБК

«Газпром» снизил прогноз на 2016 год по экспортной цене газа почти на $30, до $170 за 1 тыс. куб. м, заявил финдиректор компании Андрей Круглов. Это на 27% меньше, чем было годом ранее

Средняя цена экспорта газа по итогам 2016 года, на которую рассчитана инвестпрограмма «Газпрома», составит $170 за 1 тыс. куб. м, сообщил на пресс-конференции зампред правления «Газпрома» Андрей Круглов. Ранее компания прогнозировала среднюю цену в $199 за 1 тыс. куб. м. Круглов объяснил корректировку цены с изменениями курсов валют и цен на нефть.

По итогам 2015 года средняя цена газа «Газпрома» составила $234 за 1 тыс. куб. м, следует из материалов компании. Таким образом, теперь компания ожидает ее снижения на 27% в этом году.

В презентации компании также указано, что при реализации стрессового сценария цена газа может упасть до $151 за 1 тыс. куб. м. В феврале в материалах ко Дню инвестора стресс-цена оценивалась в $169. Компания сохранила оценку цены на нефть в 2016 году в $50/барр., а при реализации стрессового сценария — в $35/барр. В среду на Лондонской бирже нефть марки Brent торгуется по $49/барр. А стрессовое значение курса доллара в инвестпрограмме «Газпрома» снижено с 76,7 до 72,9 руб. за доллар.

Объем экспорта газа в дальнее зарубежье «Газпром» ожидает не менее 165 млрд куб. м в 2016 году, отметил первый заместитель начальника финансово-экономического департамента компании Игорь Шаталов. В 2015 году «Газпром» поставил в дальнее зарубежье 158,6 млрд куб. м газа. То есть компания ожидает роста поставок минимум на 4%. По итогам первого полугодия 2016 года, по оценкам «Интерфакса», поставки уже выросли на 14,3%, до 85 млрд куб. м.

В конце мая зампред правления «Газпрома» Александр Медведев говорил, что цены на газ достигли дна: «Мы уже достигли ценового дна, поэтому если цена на нефть падать не будет, то и цена на газ тоже поднимется». Значительная часть экспортных контрактов «Газпрома» привязана к ценам на нефть с опозданием в 6–9 месяцев. Из-за низких цен на нефть экспортный нетбэк (экспортная цена за вычетом транспортировки) для российского газа в Европе почти сравнялся с ценами в России, говорилось в апрельском отчете Sberbank CIB. 

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