27:05, 27 Май 2022

МЭР назвал оптимистичным прогноз цены на нефть в $50-60 на 2016 год

Заложенная в базовый вариант прогноза Министерства экономического развития на 2016 года оценка стоимости нефти в $50-60 выглядит оптимистичной, признал заместитель главы ведомства Алексей Ведев.

«Сейчас $50-60 за баррель видятся достаточно оптимистичным сценарием», — сказал Ведев, выступая на конференции, организованной франко-российской торгово-промышленной палатой (цитата по «Интерфаксу»).

Ранее сегодня глава Минэкономразвития Улюкаев заявил, что период волатильности на нефтяном рынке завершится во втором квартале 2016 года, а среднегодовую цену в $50 за баррель назвал «реалистичным предположением».

Глава МЭР также отметил, что консервативный сценарий предусматривает снижение нефтяных цен до $40, что не несет «принципиальных рисков для макроэкономической сбалансированности, бюджетной сбалансированности, в целом для социально-экономической ситуации» в стране.

О том, что бюджет на 2016 год планируется, исходя из реалистического сценария, заявил сегодня в интервью российским телеканалам премьер-министр Дмитрий Медведев.

«Но мы были бы плохими управленцами, если бы не имели, как вы сказали, «плана В» и даже «плана C», если потребуется для такой ситуации. Поэтому если потребуется, если будут тяжелые события, если будет продолжаться совсем негативный сценарий на углеводородном направлении, на нефтяном и на газовом треке, нам придется вносить коррективы, и в этом смысле позиция правительства будет абсолютно реалистична», — заверил Медведев.

Накануне стоимость нефти марки Brent впервые с февраля 2009 года упала ниже отметки $40 за баррель. В ходе сегодняшних торгов на бирже ICE стоимость фьючерсов на Brent с поставкой в январе 2016 года колеблется между $40 и $41 за баррель.

 

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