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Города скрытого потенциала: где в России дорожает жилье
Жилая недвижимость в России дешевеет. К такому выводу независимо друг от друга пришли различные международные компании, в числе которых Knight Frank и Global Property Index. В зависимости от методики оценок темпы падения стоимости российского жилья оцениваются от -0,4% до -15,3% за последний год; отдельные аналитики даже называют Россию страной с самой быстро дешевеющей недвижимостью в мире.
Между тем в России есть города, продемонстрировавшие значительный рост цен на квартиры за последние пять лет. По просьбе «РБК-Недвижимости» аналитики федерального портала «Мир квартир» нашли шесть таких мегаполисов. Этим городам не помешало даже удешевление в 2015 году: несмотря на снижение цен за последние 12 месяцев, в перспективе пяти лет все перечисленные населенные пункты показали положительную динамику. Москва и Санкт-Петербург в исследовании не учитывались.
Нижний Новгород
- Рост цен с 2010 года: 45%
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квартиры в нижнем новгороде
до 2 млн руб
от 2 до 3 млн руб
от 3 до 5 млн руб
дороже 5 млн руб
Наилучшую динамику за последние шесть лет показал Нижний Новгород: здесь стоимость 1 кв. м выросла на 45%, подсчитала компания «Мир квартир». Такой прирост частично объясняется большим объемом новостроек, сданных в эксплуатацию за последние годы: вышедшие на рынок квартиры в готовых домах оцениваются выше старого жилого фонда и повышают среднюю стоимость 1 кв. м в городе. Значительный объем новых домов с просторными квартирами также привел к тому, что Нижний Новгород поставил рекорд среди городов-миллионников России по средней площади одного объекта: по данным онлайн-сервиса объявлений «Циан», средняя площадь квартиры в столицы Приволжья равна 58,8 кв. м. Большие значения зафиксированы только в Москве и Санкт-Петербурге, где средняя площадь составляет 63,1 и 61,6 кв. м соответственно, говорится в отчете «Циана».
По состоянию на начало апреля 2016 года 1 кв. м в нижегородских квартирах оценивается в 65,6 тыс. руб., утверждает «Циан». Самыми прибыльными объектами в перспективе последних двух лет стали трехкомнатные квартиры, подсчитали в «Яндекс.Недвижимости». Такие объекты в Нижнем Новгороде обеспечили своим владельцам доходность в 18,67% при условии покупки в 2014 году, сдачи в аренду по рыночной ставке на протяжении двух лет и последующей продажи в 2016 году. Тем не менее в долларовом эквиваленте подешевели все нижегородские квартиры, заключили в «Яндекс.Недвижимости». Такая тенденция характерна не только для Нижнего Новгорода, но и для всех населенных пунктов страны без исключения, утверждает «Яндекс».
Саратов
- Рост цен с 2010 года: 39%
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Читайте также
Как меняются цены на жилье в 10 крупнейших городах России
От Якутска до Грозного: какое жилье можно снять за 20 тыс. руб. в городах России
Несмотря на 39%-ный рост стоимости за последние пять лет, саратовские квартиры остаются наиболее дешевыми среди 20 крупнейших городов России, говорится в материалах «Циана». В настоящий момент местные «однушки» оцениваются в 1,5 млн руб., «двушки» — в 2,2 млн руб., «трешки» — в 2,9 млн руб. «Цены на жилье постоянно росли вплоть до января 2015 года. В тот момент в городе возник избыток предложения, — заявил директор саратовского филиала агентства недвижимости «Этажи» Роман Артамонов. — Затем началось снижение цен, которое наблюдается и в данный момент. Снижение происходит более плавно, чем рост: по нашим данным, за 2015 год цены уменьшились в среднем на 15%. Сейчас спрос и предложение примерно сбалансированы, спрос даже немного больше, чем предложение».
К началу апреля 2016 года стоимость 1 кв. м в Саратове составила 40 тыс. руб., сообщает «Циан». По уровню доступности жилья для местного населения город опередил всех остальных участников рейтинга, выяснили в «Мире квартир». При подсчете аналитики сравнивали среднюю зарплату в каждом из регионов с усредненной стоимостью жилья. «Саратов — город менее крупный и менее привлекательный для жизни, [чем Нижний Новгород], однако доступность квартир здесь выше: согласно нашему исследованию, саратовцу нужно копить на квартиру в течение восьми с половиной лет, тогда как нижегородцу — 10,9 года», — заявил Павел Луценко.
Казань
- Рост цен с 2010 года: 35%
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Квартиры в Казани
Купить
Если усредненная стоимость 1 кв. м в квартирах Казани прибавила 35%, то средняя стоимость 1 кв. м в местных новостройках повысилась еще сильнее: по данным риелторского агентства «Этажи», с 2011 по 2016 год новое жилье в столице Татарстана подорожало на 72,86% — до 63,7 тыс. руб. «Казань стабильно растет, — подтвердил генеральный директор «Мира квартир» Павел Луценко. — Это богатый и интенсивно развивающийся регион с хорошими показателями занятости и средних доходов. Татарстан успешно привлекает инвестиции из стран мусульманского мира, в первую очередь турецкие. Никакие санкции этому движению помешать не в силах. Только за 2014 год недвижимость Казани выросла на 12,1%, в 2015 году — на 1,2%, а в первом квартале 2016 — на 2%».
За пять лет население города увеличилось на 71,5 тыс. человек, до 1,2 млн, а средняя зарплата показала прирост в 55,2% — с 21,6 тыс. руб. в 2011-м до 33,6 тыс. руб. в 2016 году, сообщили «РБК-Недвижимости» в агентстве «Этажи». За это время в городе возвели 3 млн кв. м новой жилой недвижимости, что эквивалентно 60 тыс. квартир для 150 тыс. жителей, уточнили риелторы. По уровню рублевой доходности за последние два года казанские квартиры заняли три первых места в рейтинге «Яндекс.Недвижимости». Самыми доходными оказались «трешки», на которых с 2014 по 2016 год можно было заработать 29,4%, говорится в исследовании онлайн-сервиса. Двухкомнатные квартиры принесли доходность в 27,6%, «однушки» — 24,7%.
Екатеринбург
- Рост цен с 2010 года: 30%
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Недвижимость Екатеринбурга
Новостройки
Вторичка
Офисы
В настоящий момент в Екатеринбурге продается 10,3 тыс. квартир со средней ценой 69,4 тыс. руб. за 1 кв. м, подсчитали в риелторской ассоциации «Уральская палата недвижимости» (УПН). С учетом комнат объем предложения достиг 12,15 тыс. объектов — это абсолютный максимум за всю историю Екатеринбурга, утверждает местное отделение риелторского агентства «Этажи». Такой прирост обеспечили новостройки: в последние два года предложение в новых домах увеличилось в два раза, сообщает «Мир квартир». За пять лет количество предложений выросло на 35,6%, сказано в материалах УПН; ежегодно в городе сдают в эксплуатацию по 1 млн кв. м нового жилья, выяснило агентство «Миэль».
Рост числа новостроек спровоцировал переток покупателей со вторичного рынка: если в 2015 году на первичном рынке заключались 30% всех сделок с жильем, то в настоящий момент доля новостроек составляет 50%, объяснили риелторы. «Несомненно, в Екатеринбурге есть избыток предложения, — заявил директор по развитию компании «Этажи» Алексей Осинцев. — Рынок недвижимости становится более доступным — сейчас цены на вторичное жилье имеют тренд на снижение. Мы считаем, что в течение ближайших пяти лет рынок отыграет потери, понесенные с 2015 года». За прошедший год средняя стоимость 1 кв. м в екатеринбургских квартирах упала на 6%, указывает «Циан».
Краснодар
- Рост цен с 2010 года: 24%
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Недвижимость в Краснодарском крае
Квартиры
Дома
Краснодар — редкий пример города, в котором бум нового строительства не привел к резкому обрушению цен в 2015 году. За последний год стоимость 1 кв. м в столице Кубани опустилась всего на 2,1%, подсчитал «Циан», — за исключением Санкт-Петербурга это наименее значительное удешевление жилья среди городов-миллионников России. «Краснодар — столица главного сельскохозяйственного региона страны. Сейчас сюда пошли немалые инвестиции в рамках политики импортозамещения, — объяснил Павел Луценко. — Впрочем, прогнозировать дальнейший рост подобными темпами все равно сложно, так как в городе продолжается активное строительство».
Масштабное возведение новых домов привело к тому, что 60% всех сделок с жильем в 2015 году пришлось на покупку новых квартир, рассказал «РБК-Недвижимости» директор местного отделения агентства «Этажи» Вадим Камалов. «На рынке Краснодара сейчас около 50 тыс. квартир в новостройках, еще примерно столько же находится на стадии строительства и проектирования. Прибавим к этому еще порядка 30 тыс. квартир на вторичном рынке: в общей сложности на рынке недвижимости продается более 130 тыс. лотов. Это более чем в четыре раза превышает спрос, — заявил Камалов. — По оценкам мэрии Краснодара, для того чтобы распродать все построенное, потребуется не менее пяти лет. Что касается вторичного рынка — такое жилье снижается в цене медленно, но верно. Правда, сейчас собственники чаще отказываются от продажи, чем кардинально снижают цены».
Новосибирск
- Рост цен с 2010 года: 23%
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0
Квартиры в Новосибирске
Купить
Новосибирск — последний в списке городов с наиболее быстро дорожавшим жильем. За минувшие шесть лет местные квартиры прибавили в цене 23%, сообщает «Мир квартир». «В Новосибирске средняя стоимость квадратного метра на вторичном рынке составляет 61 тыс. руб. Пять лет назад цена была равна 51 тыс. руб. за 1 кв. м, — заявил управляющий директор риелторского агентства «Миэль-Сеть офисов недвижимости» Роман Мурадян. — Максимальные показатели средней стоимости, 67 тыс. руб. за 1 кв. м, отмечены в феврале 2015 года».
Снижение стоимости в последний год обусловлено большим объемом новостроек, сданных в эксплуатацию за последнее время, разъяснили в компании «Мир квартир». «В Новосибирске много лет подряд велось бурное строительство. За два года предложение новостроек увеличилось более чем вдвое. В итоге в 2014 году наблюдался прирост 3,3%, в 2015 году — падение на 2,6%, в первом квартале 2016 — минус 1,9%», — заключил Луценко.
Фото: Serguei Fomine / Global Look Press, ТАСС/ Валерий Матыцин & Иван Журавлев, Nikolay Titov, Allexander Makarov, Georgiy Rozov, Konstantin Kokoshkin (Russian Look)
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